Sell My DTC Brand – AI-Powered Brokerage & Valuation
Exiting a consumer brand? Get a data-driven valuation, a buyer-ready package, and a confidential process tailored to DTC founders.
How Much Is My DTC Brand Worth?
Short answer: Valuation ≈ EBITDA/SDE × market multiple, adjusted for gross & contribution margin, growth, retention/repeat rate, CAC/LTV & MER/ROAS, channel mix (Shopify/Amazon/Wholesale), SKU economics, returns/chargebacks, ops complexity, and brand/IP strength.
Valuation, in brief (5 steps)
- Choose method: EBITDA for most brands; SDE for smaller owner‑operated; revenue multiple only for larger brand‑like businesses.
- Normalise metrics: GAAP revenue, gross & contribution margin, ad spend, CAC/LTV, MER/ROAS, returns & discounts, inventory adjustments.
- Benchmark with comps: niche, price point, AOV, repeat rate, channel mix (DTC/Amazon/Wholesale/Subscriptions), seasonality.
- Adjust for risk: supplier dependence, inventory turns, product liability/compliance, key‑person risk, platform risk (ads/marketplaces).
- Run scenarios: base / upside / de‑risked (e.g., SKU rationalisation, CAC cut, ops improvements) to set a defensible range.
DTC Valuation Multiples in 2025 (Indicative)
Ranges vary by size, quality, and buyer type. Treat these as directional bands, not guarantees.
Profile | Basis | Indicative Range* |
---|---|---|
Owner‑operated, <$1m EBITDA | SDE/EBITDA multiple | ~2.5×–4.0× SDE or EBITDA |
$1m–$5m EBITDA, steady growth | EBITDA multiple | ~4.0×–7.0× EBITDA |
$5m+ EBITDA, strong brand metrics | EBITDA multiple | ~6.0×–9.0× EBITDA |
*Illustrative bands only; outcomes depend on growth, margins, retention, SKU/unit economics, risk, buyer type, and market conditions.
How We Value DTC: Margins, CAC/LTV, MER/ROAS, Repeat Rate
Driver | Strong Signal | Effect on Multiple |
---|---|---|
Growth | Consistent QoQ revenue growth with forecasted pipeline | Higher (durable growth) |
Contribution Margin | CM ≥ 30% after COGS, fulfilment, and variable marketing | Higher (cash generation) |
CAC/LTV & MER | LTV:CAC ≥ 3:1; blended MER at target; efficient ROAS | Higher (efficient acquisition) |
Repeat Rate & Subscriptions | High 60/90/180‑day repeat; healthy subscription share | Higher (predictability) |
Channel Mix | Diversified (Shopify/Amazon/Wholesale) with stable AOV | Higher (lower platform risk) |
Ops & Compliance | Reliable suppliers, strong QA/claims record, low returns | Higher (lower execution risk) |
SDE vs EBITDA for DTC: Which One Matters?
Smaller, owner‑operated brands often price on SDE. Systemised brands and platform plays trend to EBITDA. We compute both and align to the buyer pool.
How our AI model improves the valuation
- Maps your metrics to live deal/comparable bands (niche, price tier, margins, repeat rate, channel mix).
- Runs sensitivity on CAC, contribution margin, and SKU mix to show multiple uplift.
- Ranks buyer fit (strategic vs financial) to indicate likely price/structure scenarios.
What to prepare (faster valuation)
- Last 24 months P&L/BS/CF; margin waterfall (COGS, fulfilment, variable marketing), channel P&L.
- Shopify/Amazon exports: revenue, AOV, cohorts, repeat rate, subscription metrics, returns/chargebacks.
- Ad accounts (Meta/Google/TikTok) performance & spend; CAC/MER dashboards.
- Inventory: current/aging, turns, landed cost, 3PL contracts; supplier MSAs, SLAs, MOQs, lead times.
- Brand/IP: trademarks, packaging/compliance (FDA/CE/claims), product liability insurance.
Quick answers:
Revenue or profit multiple? Mostly EBITDA/SDE; revenue multiples appear for larger brands with strong margins and retention.
Do subscriptions matter? Yes—predictable revenue lifts multiples; so do wholesale/Amazon if margin‑accretive.
What improves my multiple fastest? Better contribution margin, lower CAC, reduced returns, SKU rationalisation, and supplier terms that improve cash conversion.