Sell My Dropshipping Business – AI-Powered Brokerage & Valuation
Thinking of an exit? Get a data-driven valuation, a buyer-ready package, and a confidential process designed for Shopify/Shopline/Woo dropship brands.
How Much Is My Dropshipping Business Worth?
Short answer: Valuation ≈ annual net profit (SDE) × market multiple, adjusted for revenue growth, margins after ad spend (MER/ROAS), repeat rate/LTV, AOV & CAC, SKU/supplier concentration, fulfilment reliability (3PL/agents), chargebacks/refunds, and platform/policy risk.
Valuation, in brief (5 steps)
- Choose method: SDE multiple for most owner‑operated stores; EBITDA for larger teams/brands.
- Normalise metrics: GAAP P&L, ad spend (Meta/Google/TikTok), MER, CAC, AOV, LTV, refunds/chargebacks.
- Benchmark with comps: niche, GEO mix, seasonality, SKU breadth, supplier terms/lead times, channel mix.
- Adjust for risk: ad‑account bans, reliance on single product/traffic source, supplier dependence, tax/VAT nexus.
- Run scenarios: base / upside / de‑risked (e.g., better supplier terms, creative testing cadence), then set a defensible range.
Dropshipping Valuation Multiples in 2025 (Indicative)
Ranges vary by size, quality, niche, and buyer type. Treat these as directional bands, not guarantees.
Profile | Basis | Indicative Range* |
---|---|---|
Owner‑operated, <$250k annual profit | SDE multiple | ~2.0×–3.2× SDE |
$250k–$1m annual profit, steady growth | SDE multiple | ~2.75×–4.25× SDE |
$1m+ annual profit, brand‑like ops | EBITDA multiple | ~3.5×–6.0× EBITDA |
*Illustrative bands only; actual outcomes depend on growth, MER/CAC efficiency, repeat rate/LTV, supplier & traffic concentration, chargebacks/refunds, buyer type, and market conditions.
How We Value Dropshipping: Profit Quality, MER/ROAS, LTV:CAC
Driver | Strong Signal | Effect on Multiple |
---|---|---|
Revenue/Profit Growth | Consistent MoM growth with tested creatives and new SKU pipeline | Higher (durability of growth) |
Unit Economics | LTV:CAC ≥ 3:1; MER ≥ 2.5; stable CAC; low refund/chargeback rate | Higher (efficient growth) |
Gross Margin | ≥ 60% pre‑ads; ≥ 20% after ads/ops | Higher (profit resilience) |
Customer Repeat Rate | 30%+ repeat within 12 months (where applicable) | Higher (predictability) |
Concentration Risk | No SKU > 25% sales; no single ad platform > 60%; multiple suppliers/3PLs | Higher (lower volatility) |
Ops & Compliance | Reliable fulfilment SLAs; clear policies; tax/VAT compliance | Higher (smoother diligence) |
SDE vs EBITDA for Dropshipping: Which One Matters?
Most dropshipping exits price on SDE (profit + reasonable owner pay + normalised add‑backs). Larger, systemised brands trend to EBITDA. We compute both and align to the likely buyer pool.
How our AI model improves the valuation
- Maps your store metrics to live deal/comparable bands (niche, MER, CAC, repeat rate, seasonality).
- Runs sensitivity on CAC, MER, AOV, supplier costs, and refund rate to show multiple uplift.
- Ranks buyer fit (aggregator/brand/financial) to indicate likely price/structure scenarios.
What to prepare (faster valuation)
- Last 24 months P&L/BS/CF; channel‑level revenue and ad spend; refunds/chargebacks report.
- Platform exports: Shopify/Shopline/Woo, GA4, Meta/Google/TikTok Ads, Klaviyo/CRM, Stripe/PayPal.
- SKU performance (top 50), COGS by supplier, lead times, PO history, inventory/3PL reports.
- Traffic mix (paid/search/email/influencer); GEO split; returning customer rate; subscription data (if any).
- Contracts & policies: supplier/agent agreements, 3PL SLAs, warranties/returns, tax/VAT registrations.
Quick answers:
Is it valued on revenue or profit? Mostly on SDE for dropshipping; EBITDA for larger, brand‑like operations.
What improves my multiple fastest? Lower CAC/stronger MER, lower refund/chargeback rates, diversified suppliers/traffic, and documented SOPs/compliance.
Do chargebacks kill deals? High rates depress multiples, but process fixes (QA, shipping times, policy clarity) can restore value.