Sell My Digital Product Business – AI-Powered Brokerage & Valuation
Thinking of an exit? Get a data-driven valuation, a buyer-ready package, and a confidential process designed for course creators, template shops, and digital download brands.
How Much Is My Digital Product Business Worth?
Short answer: Valuation ≈ Annual Net Profit (SDE) × market multiple, adjusted for revenue growth, conversion rates, refund/chargeback rate, monetisation mix (courses, downloads, memberships, licences, affiliates), traffic sources (search/paid/social/email), brand/IP strength, and platform dependence (Shopify, Gumroad, Etsy, marketplaces).
Valuation, in brief (5 steps)
- Choose method: SDE multiple for most digital product brands; EBITDA for larger teams with systems.
- Normalise metrics: monthly revenue by stream, gross margin after processor/platform fees, paid media ROAS/CAC, refund/chargeback rates, owner compensation/add‑backs.
- Benchmark with comps: niche, GEO mix, price points/ARPU, seasonality, funnel type (launch vs evergreen), traffic blend.
- Adjust for risk: platform policies, IP/licences/DMCA history, key‑person dependency, list ownership (email/CRM), and concentration (single SKU/channel).
- Run scenarios: base / upside / de‑risked (e.g., +email list growth, upsells, bundle AOV), then set a defensible range.
Digital Product Valuation Multiples in 2025 (Indicative)
Ranges vary by size, quality, niche, and buyer type. Treat these as directional bands, not guarantees.
Profile | Basis | Indicative Range* |
---|---|---|
Owner‑operated, <$200k annual profit | SDE multiple | ~2.2×–3.8× SDE |
$200k–$1m annual profit, steady growth | SDE multiple | ~2.8×–4.5× SDE |
$1m+ annual profit, brand‑like operation | EBITDA multiple | ~3.5×–6.0× EBITDA |
*Illustrative bands only; actual outcomes depend on growth, margins, traffic mix/CAC, refund rates, risk, buyer type, and market conditions.
How We Value Digital Products: Growth, Conversion, RPM/AOV, Refunds
Driver | Strong Signal | Effect on Multiple |
---|---|---|
Revenue Growth | Consistent MoM/YoY revenue with forecastable launches or evergreen funnels | Higher (durability of growth) |
Conversion & LTV | Checkout CVR above niche median; repeat purchases; high LTV | Higher (monetisation quality) |
CAC/ROAS | Efficient paid mix; CAC payback < 90 days | Higher (scalability) |
Gross Margin | ≥ 85% after processor/platform fees | Higher (profit potential) |
Refunds/Chargebacks | Refunds < 5%; chargebacks < 0.5% | Higher (lower risk) |
IP & Platform Risk | Clean licences/trademarks; low platform dependence; first‑party email list | Higher (smoother diligence) |
SDE vs EBITDA: Which One Matters?
Smaller, founder‑led digital product brands are commonly priced on SDE (profit + reasonable owner compensation + normalised add‑backs). Larger, systemised media/education brands trend to EBITDA. We compute both and align to the likely buyer pool.
How our AI model improves the valuation
- Maps your metrics to live deal/comparable bands (niche, growth, margins, CAC/ROAS, refund rates).
- Runs sensitivity on price tests, bundle/AOV uplift, paid mix, and email list growth to show multiple uplift.
- Ranks buyer fit (aggregator vs strategic) to indicate likely price/structure scenarios.
What to prepare (faster valuation)
- Last 24 months P&L + balance sheet; monthly revenue by SKU/stream (courses, downloads, memberships, licences, affiliates).
- Platform exports: Shopify/Gumroad/Etsy/Teachables/ThriveCart/Stripe/PayPal; refund/chargeback logs; VAT/GST settings.
- Traffic & funnel: UTM/CMS analytics, paid spend & ROAS, email list size/engagement, automation flows, LTV/CAC.
- Top SKUs with % of revenue; channel/platform dependence notes; affiliate agreements.
- Contracts/IP: trademarks, content licences, model releases, DMCA history, asset ownership.
Quick answers:
Revenue or profit multiple? Mostly profit (SDE). EBITDA applies for larger, diversified brands.
Do follower counts matter? Only indirectly. Buyers weight revenue stability, conversion/LTV, CAC/ROAS, refund rates, email list quality, and clean IP.
What improves my multiple fastest? Better conversion & LTV, lower CAC/refunds, stronger email list ownership, clean IP, and reduced platform dependence.